843
FXUS62 KTBW 310038
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
838 PM EDT Sun Mar 30 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 835 PM EDT Sun Mar 30 2025

We`ve seen some decent showers and storms this afternoon and evening
with the highest coverage over the northeastern gulf, Nature Coast
and then inland areas this evening. Maximum winds observed were
around 30-40 mph and we did have one report of some pea sized hail.
Model guidance has storms diminishing over the next couple of hours
with mostly rain-free conditions expected overnight. With abundant
low level moisture continuing, there is a potential for some areas
of overnight fog, primarily over the eastern gulf waters and along
the coast. Overnight lows will drop into the mid 60`s to low 70`s.
Made some changes to POPs based on latest radar trends and model
guidance, as well as some changes to update fog potential and
coverage.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 835 PM EDT Sun Mar 30 2025

VFR and rain-free conditions will prevail at all terminals through
around 08Z. Some MVFR/IFR CIGs and VSBY restrictions will be
possible between 08-14Z, then becoming VFR after 14Z and continuing
through the end of the period. SSW winds around 5-10 knots will
become light and variable overnight, then increasing once again to
SSW around 8-12 knots by mid morning and continuing through Monday
afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 835 PM EDT Sun Mar 30 2025

Strong thunderstorms that had been firing over the northeastern gulf
have quieted down over the past couple of hours and quiet conditions
are expected to continue overnight. As high pressure ridges over
Florida and into the gulf, light southerly winds around 5-10 knots
and seas 2 feet or less will persist through the night and on
Monday. There is a high chance of some areas of sea fog overnight
over all the eastern gulf waters. A weak front will move through the
northeast gulf late Monday producing a chance of showers and storms.
High pressure builds back in behind this front with pleasant weather
expected through the remainder of the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  71  84  71  86 /  20   0  10  10
FMY  69  87  70  88 /  10  10  10  10
GIF  68  88  69  90 /  40  20  10  20
SRQ  70  84  70  84 /  10   0  10  10
BKV  64  87  66  87 /  20  10  20  10
SPG  71  81  71  83 /  20   0  10  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Delerme
NWS TBW Office Area Forecast Discussion